Here are four ways the Amazon effect is shaking up supply chain trends – and why it’s a net positive for the industry.
Highlights:
More companies will start to tap into the gig economy in the last mile, and Uber-style delivery companies will emerge.
To meet growing customer demand, same-day delivery will become increasingly standard.
Supply chain leaders will be increasingly evaluated according to customer experience.
Here’s the thing about adversity: it has a tendency to test our strength, and, more often than not, it brings out the best in us. There’s no doubt that the meteoric ascendency of Amazon has created plenty of adversity for the retail, transportation, and supply chain industries. But as the corporation continues to shake up supply chain trends, it’s actually giving the industry an opportunity to sharpen and refine its practices.
Amazon’s dominance has already influenced supply chain trends in big ways. Industry-wide, companies have been compelled to reflect how they do business. In many cases, it’s been a painful process: businesses have had to reinvent, in everything from what and how processes are implemented to the choice of new technologies to purchase. But despite the difficulty, the reinvention process has the potential to pay big dividends in the long term.
Experts are predicting that there are four major ways in which Amazon will continue disrupting supply chain trends going forward.
4 ways Amazon will keep disrupting supply chain trends
1) Uber-style delivery companies
If you think e-commerce sales are high, you haven’t seen anything yet. Recent data from Statista predicts that e-commerce sales will grow as much as 25% by 2022, meaning that retail delivery will undergo analogous growth. As postal service prices rise, FedEx and UPS will likely need to make more deliveries themselves. Meanwhile, Amazon’s 3PL business is booming, putting pressure on the competition.
While these retail delivery services have not yet tapped into the gig economy, largely thanks to opposition from labor unions, it’s only a matter of time according to Convey CEO Rob Taylor. Taylor predicts that a deal will be “brokered between unions and 1099 labor, following in the footsteps of Uber and the taxi and public transportation industries’ unionization efforts.”
2) Same-day delivery
Same-day delivery, once a novelty, is increasingly a subject of consumer demand. PwC’s Global Consumer Insights Survey 2019 found that 40% of online shoppers are willing to pay extra for same-day delivery. To meet the demand retailers are investing in on-demand warehousing and other solutions for increasing localized inventory.
In addition, there’s the rise of drone delivery. Back in 2017, McKinsey estimated that the value of drone activity would reach $1 billion. More recent estimates, including one from ResearchandMarkets, set the value at $11.2 billion by 2022. It’s not long before same-day delivery will be necessary for businesses to compete.
3) Customer satisfaction metrics
As supply chain trends go, the type of metrics used to evaluate personnel may not seem particularly revolutionary. In fact, this type of shift is an indicator of sweeping cultural change. Writing for Fortune, Elementum CEO Nader Mikhail predicts that “tomorrow’s CEOs will come from an unlikely place: the supply chain.”
Customer expectations have been redefined, thanks to the Amazon effect, and businesses need leaders who are skilled at transforming overarching goals into many smaller variables. Where better to find such skills than among the ranks of supply chain leaders?
As a result, in addition to more traditional supply chain key performance indicators (KPIs), Taylor predicts that “net promoter score (NPS) and customer satisfaction (CSAT), which are leading indicators of customer happiness and loyalty, will play a greater role in the supply chain scorecard.” Essentially, supply chain and marketing goals will increasingly intersect.
4) Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is among the most widely discussed supply chain trends in recent years. AI is helping supply chain leaders collate and analyze operational data, and “automating the ability to predict customer demand, forecast product availability, optimize routes for delivery, and better target and personalize communication with customers,” according to Taylor.
Amazon has invested heavily in AI technologies including order optimization, blockchain, warehouse robotics, and the Internet of Things. To keep up, Taylor predicts that “a new generation of supply chain leaders will likely require skills in AI that empower them to translate this highly technical information into business decisions and profitability.”
Navigating the Amazon effect on supply chain trends
When it comes to managing Amazon’s disruptive effects on supply chain trends, the industry will do best to look on them as opportunities. Amazon’s success is, according to Taylor, “pushing brands to modernize and align their teams around the central goal of improving customer experience.” The bottom line is that thanks to Amazon, supply chain companies need to be primarily focused on the customer in order to compete.
The shortage of drivers paired with the continued growth of the trucking industry paves the way for driverless trucks.
This guest post comes to us from Rachel Everly, a writer for Cerasis, a top freight logistics company and truckload freight broker.
The trucking industry has been serving America for many decades, and even today it is the main method by which freight is transferred all over the country. Anyone who says the trucking industry is facing a decline or a reduced demand is way off the numbers. More large trucks are coming on U.S. roads, traveling more miles, and transporting more good than ever before.
We have seen more than 3% increases in the number of trucks, which translates to almost 11 million trucks. Also, trucks are still transporting 73% of almost all cargo weight moved in one year. With all these impressive numbers, surprisingly there is a shortage of drivers. That spells both trouble and opportunity for this industry.
Where is there a shortage of drivers?
The U.S trucking industry is facing a severe driver shortage. One estimate shows that around 48,000 drivers are required to move about 70% of freight.
To improve safety, in December 2015, the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) announced that driver hours will be recorded via Electronic Logging Devices by 2017. This becomes mandatory by December 18, 2017. This was introduced because the existing systems of time-logging are purposely made very complicated, thus not allowing one to check how many hours is a driver on the road.
This is being introduced to ensure that driver safety is not compromised, keeping fatigued drivers off the road. According to calculations, this will save 26 lives a year and prevent 562 injuries every year. Not just this, the ELD will save companies the hassle of paperwork, eventually leading the trucking industry to save somewhere around $1 billion due to reduced paperwork and time-savings.
However, this means reduced hours per driver, thus increasing the need for more drivers. Small trucking companies will be hit the hardest, but overall the industry will be in a better position thanks to this rule. It is estimated that this new rule would cost the industry $1.8 billion, but cost savings from reduced accidents and paperwork amount in excess of $3 billion.
The way to driverless trucks
Humans are amazing creatures, but we are prone to human errors. Human errors account for the majority of the road accidents. Plus with the new rule in, companies will need more drivers, adding to costs. Uber has been actively working on getting driverless trucks on the roads, with a project already started in Singapore, and now has turned its eyes on the trucking industry.
Uber has recently acquired the start-up Otto. Otto has made great inroads into driverless trucks. Otto currently has 6 working self-driving trucks, with plans to expand to 15. This year Otto is continuously running tests; trucks are hauling random items from the company’s garage to test how the vehicles respond to hauling weight.
The company is confident that soon they will be moving all kinds of goods for shippers. They have already started forging relationships with big names in the trucking industry. The self-driving trucks have shown that they can easily operate on highways, maneuvering off the open interstate is still a work in progress.
The following infographic outlines some of the benefits of driverless trucks:
Drew McElroy, founder of the start-up Transfix, is no newcomer to the trucking industry. McElroy was born into the business; his parents owned and operated the freight brokerage Andrew’s Express, affectionately naming it after McElroy.
“I remember listening to my father structure deals. As a kid, it was all utterly confusing to me,” recalls McElroy. “I finally started to get my head around the economics of the business in my teens. From that point on, I became increasingly aware of the industry’s inefficiencies.”
Not long after McElroy graduated college, his father passed away unexpectedly. McElroy, already working for the family business, took over as president. In that time, McElroy successfully increased annual revenues from $4 million to $12 million. While impressive, McElroy still struggled with how the industry traditionally operated. “It was clear that our family business wouldn’t be the platform for world domination,” laughs McElroy. “But I believed that, fundamentally, there was a better way to get things done.”
Determined to build a new foundation based on his belief in “a better way,” McElroy left the family business and set out for San Francisco. He would spend the next year and a half couch surfing and networking in order to gain the expert business and tech insight he needed to plan what would become Transfix. “I knew logistics and I knew trucking, but I knew nothing about venture capital, or how to move from idea to implementation,” says McElroy. “I decided I should try – and try big. If I fail, I fail, but at least I tried.”
In 2013, McElroy was introduced to Jonathan Salama. Salama was among Gilt’s early engineers, and was pivotal in building the flash sale giant’s infrastructure and inventory software. McElroy knew Salama would be key in taking his idea to the next level; Transfix had claimed its co-founders, and its recipe for industry-leading success.
Transfix is a fully automated marketplace that is all about getting things from one place to another. What sets Transfix apart is the company’s platform and approach is vastly more efficient than the traditional approach, and it is much more user-friendly.
Transfix takes the industry’s inefficiencies head on. Transfix is a digital on-demand freight marketplace. It provides industry-leading mobile technologies and location-based jobs offers for independent over-the-road truck drivers, as well as cloud-based management platforms for small carriers and shippers
Here’s how it works:
A customer logs into the Transfix TMS and enters a new shipment. The platform automatically identifies the best driver depending on location, size of truck, etc., sending a load offer alert to the driver or company dispatcher by mobile SMS message or email. The load is accepted by electronic signature, at which point the customer receives automatic notification and the driver becomes fully visible within the customer’s real-time dashboard. Load management from that point on becomes “as simple as Tinder.” Transfix geofences the driver with a five mile radius, immediately alerting Transfix of any issues. Once the load is delivered, the driver is paid within 24 to 48 hours, significantly faster than the industry standard.
Transfix just launched an app (iOS and Android) that is focused on truck drivers. Transfix’s app integrates with the company’s digital marketplace and is driver-centric. The app gives drivers the ability to manage loads, map their itinerary, and manage payments. The app also provides truck drivers with trip planning essentials including the location of showers, ATMs, weigh stations, fuel prices, and weather. The app is free and can be used by anyone with a valid motor carrier number – the driver does not have to associated with Transfix. “Developing this app and making it freely available to all drivers is just the right thing to do,” says McElroy. “Without drivers, this industry would not exist. We need to do right by drivers by making their lives easier.”
Things are moving fast for McElroy and Transfix. Within 15 minutes of updating his LinkedIn profile, McElroy got a call from a logistics Manager at Barnes & Noble and, before he hung up, had freight loads to manage. Fast forward a few months – with Transfix, Barnes & Noble has realized improvements in their processes and has seen their deadhead runs (times driving without cargo) cut by at least 50%.
Transfix has raised close to $2.5 million to date and is already generating several thousand a month in revenue.
McElroy and Transfix are poised for world domination – mind you, a win-win benevolent hegemony – a la Uber.
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