by Elizabeth Hines | Jul 16, 2015 | Blog, Strategy
Remember the days when a rear-view mirror was all we needed to make business decisions? Now, predictive analytics appears poised to turn hindsight into a relic of the past.
Two Gartner analysts echo that sentiment, stating, “Few technology areas will have greater potential to improve the financial performance and position of a commercial global enterprise than predictive analytics.”
Executives are eager to jump on the bandwagon too. Although only 13% of 250 executives surveyed by Accenture said they use big data primarily for predictive purposes, as many as 88% indicated big data analytics is a top priority for their company. With an increasing number of companies learning to master the precursors to developing predictive models — namely, connecting, monitoring, and analyzing — we can safely assume the art of gleaning business intelligence from foresight will continue to grow.
Amid the promises of predictive analytics, however, we also find a number of pitfalls. Some experts caution there are situations when predictive analytics techniques can prove inadequate, if not useless.
Let’s consider three examples:
- Predictive analytics works well in a stable environment in which the future of the business is likely to resemble its past and present. But Harvard Business School professor Clayton Christensen points out that in the event of a major disruption the past will do a poor job of foreshadowing future events. As an example, he cites the advent of PCs and commodity servers, arguing computer vendors who specialized in minicomputers in the 1980s couldn’t possibly have predicted their sales impact, since they were innovations and there was no data to analyze.
- Bias in favor of a positive result is another danger when interpreting data; One of the most common errors in predictive analytics projects. Speaking at the 2014 Predictive Analytics World conference in Boston, John Elder, president of consulting firm Elder Research, Inc., made a good point when he noted that people “‘often look for data to justify our decisions, when it should be the other way around.”
- Mining big data will further do little good if the insights are not directly tied to an operational process. I’ve a feeling more companies than we realize are wasting precious time and manpower on big data projects that are not adequately understood, producing trivia rather than actionable business intelligence.
With the above challenges in mind, talent acquisition and thorough A/B tests will be key components of any predictive analytics project. What else do you think organizations need to do to use foresight effectively?
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Fronetics Strategic Advisors is a leading management consulting firm. Our firm works with companies to identify and execute strategies for growth and value creation.
Whether it is a wholesale food distributor seeking guidance on how to define and execute corporate strategy; a telematics firm needing high quality content on a consistent basis; a real estate firm looking for a marketing partner; or a supply chain firm in need of interim management, our clients rely on Fronetics to help them navigate through critical junctures, meet their toughest challenges, and take advantage of opportunities. We deliver high-impact results.
We advise and work with companies on their most critical issues and opportunities: strategy, marketing, organization, talent acquisition, performance management, and M&A support.
We have deep expertise and a proven track record in a broad range of industries including: supply chain, real estate, software, and logistics.
by Elizabeth Hines | Jul 15, 2015 | Blog, Leadership, Strategy, Supply Chain
The sharing of tangible and intangible assets will increasingly become a fundamental feature of successful businesses.
Few developments of late are as intriguing as the rise and disruptive impact of the collaborative economy. In a very short time, services that we may have thought of as permanent fixtures of our business and personal lives have been rendered obsolete by the sudden sharing of tangible and intangible assets in the peer-to-peer, business to consumer (B2C), and business to business (B2B) spheres.
B&B and hostels, car rental, and DVD rental are giving way to peer-to-peer accommodations, car sharing, and music and video streaming. The Marriott Hotel chain used the online platform LiquidSpace to convert empty conference rooms into rentable work spaces for guests as well as outside visitors. Walgreens teamed up with TaskRabbit, an online marketplace for outsourcing errands, to deliver products during flu season. The list is endless.
Rachel Botsman, an innovation strategist who has spent the past four years studying 500 collaborative economy startups worldwide, concludes in Harvard Business Review:
The real power of the collaborative economy is that it can serve as a zoom lens, offering a transformative perspective on the social, environmental, and economic value that can be created from any of a number of assets in ways and on a scale that did not exist before. In that transformation lie threats—and great opportunities.
While consumer sharing may have received the most media attention, Robert Vaughan, an economist at PwC Strategy & Inc., argues the open sharing of resources among businesses may present an even larger opportunity. Although, on the surface, it seems like an unlikely marriage – businesses do compete, after all – a growing number of successful collaborations prove Vaughan is right.
He writes:
In just a few years of activity, it has become clear that the unfettered exchange of otherwise unused major assets, including physical space and industrial equipment, allows a sharing company to operate more efficiently than its non-sharing rivals. Companies that go further still, wholeheartedly embracing the sharing of less tangible assets, may benefit from a different sort of change, one involving their culture, that builds new types of connections with, and sensitivity to, the world outside.
One example of an interesting collaboration involves General Electric and Quirky, an online inventor community. GE and other market giants such as IBM and Samsung file thousands of patents every year, most of which never move beyond the drawing board. The collaboration gives Quirky open access to GE’s patents, allowing for products that normally would not have been put to productive use – such as a smartphone controlled window air conditioner – to be brought to market.
Sometimes a direct collaboration may not even be necessary. A company may choose to place an undeveloped product on an online technology exchange, thereby opening itself to the possibility of building a connection to another company with complimentary expertise.
In many respects, enterprise sharing is still in its infancy and is likely to evolve just like Airbnb, whose concept seemed “fringe” when it launched in 2008 (it was initially marketed as a service for people to stay the night on their air beds in strangers’ homes). Now the company has amassed more than 650,000 rooms in 192 countries and threatens to disrupt not only the hotel industry but the entire hospitality sector.
Fronetics Strategic Advisors is a leading management consulting firm. Our firm works with companies to identify and execute strategies for growth and value creation.
Whether it is a wholesale food distributor seeking guidance on how to define and execute corporate strategy; a telematics firm needing high quality content on a consistent basis; a real estate firm looking for a marketing partner; or a supply chain firm in need of interim management, our clients rely on Fronetics to help them navigate through critical junctures, meet their toughest challenges, and take advantage of opportunities. We deliver high-impact results.
We advise and work with companies on their most critical issues and opportunities: strategy, marketing, organization, talent acquisition, performance management, and M&A support.
We have deep expertise and a proven track record in a broad range of industries including: supply chain, real estate, software, and logistics.
by Fronetics | Jul 14, 2015 | Blog, Logistics, Manufacturing & Distribution, Strategy, Supply Chain
To see lean perfected – study the NASCAR pit. In a matter of seconds, the pit crew has changed tires, wiped down the windshield, filled up fuel, and given the driver a drink of water. Everything is in the right place at the right time. If only every distribution center would run that smoothly. What’s clear is that mastering inventory levels is central to the equation of eliminating waste, but inventory management is becoming a vexing problem for some organizations – compounded by multi-channel distribution, inadequate demand forecasting, and a lack of communication among appropriate parties.
Taking a closer look at the experiences of forerunner companies in their quests to master lean inventory management might just help your company avoid these top three snags.
Failure to Adapt Business Processes
In an effort to reduce merchandise sitting around on warehouse racks, some organizations take lean too far. The problem, in this case, is one of business process rather than software. While management sees the financial impact of cutting inventory, they tend to pay less attention to how it will affect operations. The heads of distribution quite frequently are not even invited to take part in the decision and find out only when fewer cases and pallets show up at receiving. Adapting business processes to involve the managers of procurement, finance, operations, and sales and marketing, is key to maximizing efficiency. In other words, open up the silo by building it in to your formal and informal processes.
Failure to Collaborate
Even with sophisticated demand forecasting models on hand, input from all parties is needed for an accurate assessment of inventory levels. And although demand forecasting can help an organization plan around high-level “what if” scenarios, it may not always be able to break it down on a granular level or take into account the increasing number of variables associated with multi-channel distribution. Collaboration is crucial.
Failure to Align Objectives
Sometimes the answer to the issue of inventory levels is counterintuitive. Even with lean as the driving force, the notion of optimization cannot be left out. In some instances, it makes sense to increase rather than minimize inventory if it will contribute to lowering your overall supply chain costs. Your business and inventory strategies need to align.
Despite the fact that in recent years the lean revolution has hit manufacturing, many organizations, especially retailers and wholesalers, have yet to apply lean principals. And among those who do dabble in lean, the focus tends to be on suppliers upstream rather than adding value to the end customer. As more and more businesses seek to tighten the management of their inventory in order to increase efficiencies, opportunities to address end customer value will emerge. Paul A. Myerson, professor in supply chain management, identifies store- and distribution operations as prime candidates since that’s where the most waste can be cut. He writes:
Distribution is all about optimizing the trade-offs between handling costs and warehousing costs, and maximizing the warehouse’s total cube—utilizing its full volume, while maintaining low materials handling costs and minimizing travel time.
Mastery of lean management principals will come for companies that are both successful in identifying new efficiency opportunities within their existing supply chain and navigating around the pitfalls of businesses that have instituted similar inventory management techniques.
Fronetics Strategic Advisors is a leading management consulting firm. Our firm works with companies to identify and execute strategies for growth and value creation.
Whether it is a wholesale food distributor seeking guidance on how to define and execute corporate strategy; a telematics firm needing high quality content on a consistent basis; a real estate firm looking for a marketing partner; or a supply chain firm in need of interim management, our clients rely on Fronetics to help them navigate through critical junctures, meet their toughest challenges, and take advantage of opportunities. We deliver high-impact results.
We advise and work with companies on their most critical issues and opportunities: strategy, marketing, organization, talent acquisition, performance management, and M&A support.
We have deep expertise and a proven track record in a broad range of industries including: supply chain, real estate, software, and logistics.
by Elizabeth Hines | Jul 13, 2015 | Big Data, Blog, Data/Analytics, Strategy, Supply Chain
Analytics is good for business — as long as you can make sense of it.
Does your business suffer from a case of data overload? Or do you steer clear of new investments in supply chain analytics because you are afraid they could yield more data than your business can handle? You are in good company.
Several recent surveys indicate companies either are wary of advanced analytics tools or say they have failed to leverage the technology. The issue does not seem to be a lack of knowledge of its existence or potential impact — end users are generally well informed — but how to absorb the data effectively and apply it across the entire organization.
According to a Telematics Update, for example, vendors would be wise to spend less time on their sales pitch and more time presenting the data in a digestible format, ensuring compatibility with the end user’s legacy systems, and aligning the solution with the end-user’s key performance indicators.
The challenge is also captured in an Accenture survey in which only one in five companies said they are “very satisfied” with the returns they have received from analytics. And it’s not for lack of trying. Two-thirds of companies have appointed a chief data officer in the last 18 months to oversee data management and analytics, while 71 percent of those who have not created such a position plan to do so in the near future.
This passage from Accenture’s survey report hits the nail on the head:
Companies wanting to compete more aggressively with analytics will move rapidly to industrialize the discipline on an enterprise-wide scale, redesigning how fact-based insights get embedded into key processes, leading to smarter decisions and better business outcomes.
Most organizations measure too many things that don’t matter, and don’t put sufficient focus on those things that do, establishing a large set of metrics, but often lacking a causal mapping of the key drivers of their business.
As the survey suggests, the move away from an isolated approach to an integrated cross-functional model may be the key to squeezing the most out of supply chain analytics. According to Deloitte, the key to delivering strategic insights is creating asingle authoritative data set from which all business units can draw information.
However, only 33% of the Accenture survey respondents said they are “aggressively using analytics across the entire enterprise.” Instead, highly customized data is often collected for units within the organization. A spending forecast by procurement may look nothing like its counterpart coming out of logistics. The inconsistency in reporting makes it hard to share the knowledge, and that takes us back to square one: lots of data and little useful information.
Jerry O’Dwyer, a principal with Deloitte Consulting, summed it up this way in a 2012 post:
If you are performing analytics in different areas of the supply chain — for example, spend analytics or demand planning — you may be missing opportunities that an expansive approach can yield. For companies of all kinds, in-depth supply chain analysis offers an opportunity to create increased value throughout their operations.
Let’s hear it: What do you think companies need to do to put analytics to effective use?
Fronetics Strategic Advisors is a leading management consulting firm. Our firm works with companies to identify and execute strategies for growth and value creation.
Whether it is a wholesale food distributor seeking guidance on how to define and execute corporate strategy; a telematics firm needing high quality content on a consistent basis; a real estate firm looking for a marketing partner; or a supply chain firm in need of interim management, our clients rely on Fronetics to help them navigate through critical junctures, meet their toughest challenges, and take advantage of opportunities. We deliver high-impact results.
We advise and work with companies on their most critical issues and opportunities: strategy, marketing, organization, talent acquisition, performance management, and M&A support.
We have deep expertise and a proven track record in a broad range of industries including: supply chain, real estate, software, and logistics.
by Fronetics | Jul 9, 2015 | Blog, Data/Analytics, Marketing, Social Media
In what seemed like a curious social experiment, KLM Royal Dutch Airline harnessed the popularity of social media and launched their “Meet and Seat” program in 2012. The service gives passengers the option to link their social media profiles to their boarding information during the ticket purchase process. Once a traveler’s profile is linked, they gain access to other social profiles of travelers that have also opted in to the service. Underling the concept is the notion that travelers will choose seatmates based on the profiles of users with similar business or leisure interests. While KLM reports that over 50,000 flyers have utilized the service since its inception – enough for KLM to deem the program successful – what’s discernable from KLM’s efforts is that social media has become a major player in today’s business world.
With a reported 8 out of 10 businesses using social media in the communication between their brand and their audiences, companies are spending more marketing dollars on social efforts with increasing regularity. But with its fairly recent introduction to the business world, many companies are struggling to determine whether their efforts, and their investments, are paying off. Fortunately, by focusing on a few key metrics, your company can start to understand which of your social efforts are adding value and, just as important, which ones are not.
Here are the 4 social metrics that matter:
Source Reports
The most common remark about measurement you’ll hear social media marketing experts say is that social media efforts shouldn’t be solely measured in likes and follows. It’s hard to connect the number of likes and follows to financial business metrics, so thinking about the success of your channels in different terms gives a more insightful report about how your social channels are performing. HubSpot recommends tracking the network source of your web traffic, leads, and customers to determine how your social platforms are performing.
Track: # of visits, leads, and customers for each of your social channels
Engagement and Amplification
“No man is an island,” wrote John Donne in his poem. His summation about the nature of humans is quite evident in social media. Indeed, one of the greatest benefits of social media is that it is by its very nature, social. For companies, social media exponentially expands the reach of its content by playing on the communal nature of these networks. If a company has 2,000 followers on Twitter, and each of them shared that company’s content with 200 of their followers, the amplification of its content has expanded to 200,000 users. Your business can leverage these immense networks by maintaining consistency in the quality and value of your content as this strategy will naturally inspire followers to share and repost your content. Track the types of content that drives the most amplification and identify trends in popular publishing times, then refine your efforts based on your analysis. Remember, as a business using social media, your end goal is action, not eyes. In other words, what’s important to your efforts is engagement. Pay close attention to how your followers are interacting with your content.
Track: # of Facebook Post Shares, # of Retweets, # of Twitter Mentions
Lead Generation
Put simply, lead generation activity lets you know whether your social content is generating leads and creating opportunities for your business. At the end of the day, your social efforts don’t matter if they aren’t playing a part in driving new business. Of particular value to your business is your conversion rate. Knowing how often content consumption results in a new lead will help you to build a more successful overall content strategy. Is your new infographic converting visitors to leads at a higher rate than your verbose Facebook posts? That might be a sign that your audience responds better to image-heavy content.
Track: # of form submissions, # of email subscribers, conversion rate
Return on Investment
If one of your company’s objectives for its social media participation is to drive growth, your company’s ROI calculation is one of the most important measurements of your social efforts. This measurement determines what impact your social content is having on customer acquisition and sales. Just as you would for all other marketing efforts, you need to know whether or not the investment you’re making in social media is producing a positive return for your business. To find your investment, start by calculating the total of your investment, your overhead factor, and your miscellaneous costs. To calculate your return, you’ll need to know your leads per month, your lead conversion rate, your average lifetime customer value, and average profit margin. Let’s take a look at how those factor into your ROI calculation in the example below.
To Calculate Investment
- Multiply the hours per month needed to create the content by the hourly rate of the employees used to create the content.
- Multiply the result by the overhead factor, taking into account rent, insurance, utilities, etc. (typically 50%)
- Add all other costs, such as design fees, hosting fees, subscriptions, software, etc. You may choose to allocate them to a specific piece of content or amortize them monthly and spread the costs evenly across each piece of content.
Calculation: At 40 hours/month at $40/hour to produce a corporate blog, multiplied by a 50% overhead factor. Add in $1k/month for design, $100/month for hosting, and $100/month for miscellaneous fees.
Total Investment in Monthly Blog = $3,600
To Calculate Return
Multiply your leads per month by your lead conversion rate, average lifetime customer value, and average profit margin.
Calculation: You collect 25 leads a month from your blog. At a 20% lead conversion rate, you’ll generate five new customers. Assume a $3,000 average lifetime customer value and a 30% average profit margin.
Total Monthly Blogging Return = $4,500
To Calculate Return on Investment
Subtract the investment from the return. Then, divide by the investment.
Calculation:
$4,500 – $3,600 = 900
900/3,600 = .25
ROI = 25%
Nearly 70% of communications professionals report dissatisfaction in how they’re measuring their social efforts. That’s understandable, social can be cumbersome to analyze. But looking at activity through the lens of your business objectives should really get to the heart of why your company participates in social media. In your work to distinguish your company from the thousands of others in the sea of social, seek to create rich and robust social experiences for your followers by connecting them with relevant and valuable content. Then measure that user activity and engagement to see how it is helping grow your business.
Fronetics Strategic Advisors is a leading management consulting firm. Our firm works with companies to identify and execute strategies for growth and value creation.
Whether it is a wholesale food distributor seeking guidance on how to define and execute corporate strategy; a telematics firm needing high quality content on a consistent basis; a real estate firm looking for a marketing partner; or a supply chain firm in need of interim management, our clients rely on Fronetics to help them navigate through critical junctures, meet their toughest challenges, and take advantage of opportunities. We deliver high-impact results.
We advise and work with companies on their most critical issues and opportunities: strategy, marketing, organization, talent acquisition, performance management, and M&A support.
We have deep expertise and a proven track record in a broad range of industries including: supply chain, real estate, software, and logistics.
